Mar
30
2010
Thursday, April 1 – The Australian share market was well supported as the materials sector outperformed after Newcrest Mining
launched a takeover bid for Lihir Gold. The energy sector also outperformed before the Easter long weekend, although financial,
industrials, health care, consumer and property stocks fell on US peer weakness.
The All Ordinaries rose 32.8 points (0.67%) to 4,925.9 while the S&P/ASX 200 firmed 32.2 points (0.66%) to 4,907.7.
BHP Billiton (BHP)
BHP has agreed to sell part of a Maruwai coal project to Indonesia’s second largest thermal coal producer, PT Adaro Energy,
forming a joint venture. An Adaro subsidiary will purchase a 25% stake, which covers seven contract areas in East and Central
Kalimantan provinces, where undeveloped metallurgical and thermal coal resources are estimated at 774m metric tonnes. The
agreement still needs approval by the Indonesian government. BHP previously considered an outright sale. The project is still
in an exploratory phase and undergoing a feasibility study to determine when production can begin. Adaro plans to mine around
45m tonnes of low-sulfur thermal coal in 2010 versus 41m tonnes in 2009, and to export 70%-75% of production in both years.
BHP advanced 36 cents (0.83%) to $43.95.
ANZ Group (ANZ)
ANZ said it plans to increase its shareholding in two of its businesses in South East Asia as it looks to simplify its footprint
in Indonesia and Laos. ANZ said it is in advanced talks to buy a further 14% stake in PT ANZ Panin Bank, its Indonesian joint
venture with PT Panin Bank Tbk, which would take its stake to 99%. The additional stake is worth US$44m, and is subject to
regulatory approval. In Laos, ANZ has agreed to buy the remaining 10% of ANZ Vientiane Commercial Bank from International
Finance Corp, a member of the World Bank Group, for US$2.5m, taking its stake to 100%. ANZ weakened 7 cents (0.28%) to $25.29.
Rio Tinto (RIO)
Rio announced an investment agreement for a $4bn Mongolian Oyu Tolgoi copper-gold mine has become binding and the project
will now move into development. In the agreement, the Mongolian government will own 34% of the Oyu Tolgoi LLC. The project
is being developed by the mine’s 66% Canadian owner Ivanhoe Mines, and Rio Tinto which in turn holds a 22.4% stake in Ivanhoe,
will help develop the project.
Rio said the cost to build and commission the mining complex is expected to be about $4bn, though the final projections are
yet to be confirmed. A decision to build a coal-fired power plant for Oyu Tolgoi would require additional capital commitments,
Rio said. The mine is located in the South Gobi Desert just north of the Chinese-Mongolian border, and is expected to produce
450,000 metric tonnes of copper, about 3% of global supply, and 330,000 troy ounces of gold, with a mine life of 45 years.
Production is expected to start in 2013 and take five years to reach full output.
In unrelated news, Rio announced that it received a binding offer from Sun European Partners to acquire the Alcan Beauty Packaging
business. The terms of the offer are confidential. A period of exclusivity with Sun European Partners has been agreed and
Rio Tinto will respond to this binding offer following consultation with the relevant European works councils. RIO rose $1.20
(1.53%) to $79.60.
Lihir Gold (LGL) and Newcrest Mining (NCM)
Lihir rejected a $9.2bn takeover offer from Newcrest Mining, saying it didn’t reflect the value of the company’s assets or
offer a sufficient control premium. The offer was received March 29 and suggested one Newcrest share for every nine Lihir
shares plus 22.5 cents per Lihir share, less any interim dividend declared for the first half of 2010. Lihir Chairman Ross
Garnaut said there was strategic merit in a combination with Newcrest, which would provide geographical diversification and
lower the combined entities’ cost of capital, but that the shares-and-cash offer made by Newcrest was too low. In return for
being granted access to carry out limited due diligence, Newcrest has signed a standstill agreement that would preclude them
from making a hostile offer for Lihir for nine months but would not prevent them coming back with a higher friendly offer.
LGL rose $1.01 (33.33%) to $4.04. NCM increased 96 cents (2.93%) to $33.78.
Qantas (QAN)
Qantas is investigating an incident in which an Airbus A380 damaged tires on landing in Sydney, showering sparks and scaring
passengers late Wednesday. Video footage showed bright flashes from under the plane. None of the 244 passengers were hurt
in the incident, which comes just a day after a Boeing 747 was forced to abort a flight from Sydney to Singapore. QAN remained
unchanged at $2.84.
Macarthur Coal (MCC) and Gloucester Coal (GCL)
Macarthur rejected a US$3bn takeover approach from Peabody Energy. Macarthur said it plans instead to continue with its proposed
takeover of Gloucester Coal. Analysts have suggested the Peabody bid could be an opening gambit aimed at preventing the Gloucester
deal in advance of a sweetened bid later on. Macarthur in turn believes there are benefits in its planned takeover of Gloucester,
which would see it assume 100% ownership of the Middlemount mine by purchasing the stake of Gloucester’s majority owner, Noble
Group. Noble said it will continue with a meeting around April 19 to seek shareholder approval for the Gloucester deal. Macarthur
in turn said it will proceed with a planned April 12 meeting of its shareholders to seek approval for the Gloucester deal.
JP Morgan is advising Macarthur, while Rothschild is advising Peabody. MCC firmed 82 cents (5.84%) to $14.87. GCL improved
31 cents (3.44%) to $9.31.
CSR (CSR)
Chinese state-owned food producer Bright Food Company confirmed it has entered talks with CSR about its offer to buy CSR’s
sugar and renewable energy business Sucrogen in a deal that values the operations at $1.75bn. Bright Food said it would keep
Sucrogen’s head office in Australia and plans to appoint independent Australian directors. The group said it is in a position
to lodge an application with Australia’s Foreign Investment Review Board immediately. CSR firmed 10 cents (6.04%) to $1.76.
Virgin Blue (VBA)
Virgin Blue said it signed a previously announced agreement with Boeing to buy up to 105 new 737 aircraft, its largest aircraft
order to date. The new planes, which include 50 firm orders for B737-800NG aircraft to be delivered from June 2011 through
to 2017, will be used to replace existing narrow-bodied 737 aircraft and for deployment on new routes and additional frequencies.
The order includes 25 options over additional firm delivery positions and 30 future purchase rights, but the pricing of the
aircraft wasn’t disclosed. VBA fell 1 cent (1.42%) to $0.70.
Iress Market Technology (IRE)
IRESS Market Technology said the group has seen a continued reduction in cancellations and positive net revenue growth from
its Australia and New Zealand business during the early months of 2010. The group expects flat year-on-year earnings before
interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation for the first half ending June 30 from that division, IRESS said in its annual
report. IRESS said the group has generated modest net revenue increases from the Canadian business in the early months of
2010, given a small price increase and said it expects further positive growth through 2010.
In the Asian financial market business, the group’s cost base is building in anticipation of revenue generation, yet should
be limited to $2m for 2010. The group is looking for acquisitions in the region “where they make sense”. At the Australian
and New Zealand wealth management level, conditions have been positive in the early 2010 as many firms are growing. Regulatory
reviews and takeover speculation are contributing uncertainty to the outlook for this business. For now, the group is expecting
flat first half EBITDA. Management maintains the timing of a full recovery is still difficult to predict. IRE advanced 21
cents (2.63%) to $8.21.
Economic News
February Trade Balance
The ABS reported Australia’s trade deficit continued to widen in February as a robust domestic economy fuelled demand for
imports and a still weak international environment weighed on exports. The wider-than-expected deficit comes despite soaring
prices for commodities exports, illustrating non-mining sectors of the local economy continue to experience relatively less
demand. The balance of trade in goods and services seasonally adjusted widened to a deficit of $1.92bn in February from a
revised deficit of $1.12bn in January.
The Australian Industry Group-PriceWaterhouseCoopers Performance of Manufacturing Index fell in March from February to a level
just above that separating expansion from contraction. A picture of faltering exports was backed up in a private industry
gauge earlier, which showed manufacturers are hurting from a higher exchange rate, rising interest rates and weak demand.
Job Vacancies Rise
The ABS also reported Australian job vacancies rose 12.1% in seasonally adjusted terms during the three-month period ended
February from the previous three-month period. The data comes from surveys conducted in the middle of each calendar quarter.
The NZSX50 added 8.24 points (0.25%) to 3,276.23 while the Nikkei strengthened 154.46 points (1.39%) to be last quoted at
11,244.40 and the Hang Seng gained 200.36 points (0.94%) to be last quoted at 21,439.71.